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	Comments on: Dreams or Delusions? The Real Odds of Author Success	</title>
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		<title>
		By: Jack		</title>
		<link>https://authorkristenlamb.com/2018/03/author-success-actual-odds/#comment-119374</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Jack]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 03 Mar 2025 16:30:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://authorkristenlamb.com/?p=24271#comment-119374</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[I have recently started writing poems and I think writing one day as a career would be fun and I’m still a minor so I have plenty of time to fulfill my dreams and reading this helped inspire me. At my school I’m in a creative writing club and we write for ten minutes about a prompt and do other things that help us learn about writing. Maybe I’ll also start writing short stories to improve my skills I think writing science fiction would also be something I would enjoy. But I’d like to tune into the blogs later this month where do I tune in?]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I have recently started writing poems and I think writing one day as a career would be fun and I’m still a minor so I have plenty of time to fulfill my dreams and reading this helped inspire me. At my school I’m in a creative writing club and we write for ten minutes about a prompt and do other things that help us learn about writing. Maybe I’ll also start writing short stories to improve my skills I think writing science fiction would also be something I would enjoy. But I’d like to tune into the blogs later this month where do I tune in?</p>
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		<title>
		By: Kristen Lamb		</title>
		<link>https://authorkristenlamb.com/2018/03/author-success-actual-odds/#comment-115008</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Kristen Lamb]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 31 Aug 2021 19:50:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://authorkristenlamb.com/?p=24271#comment-115008</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[In reply to &lt;a href=&quot;https://authorkristenlamb.com/2018/03/author-success-actual-odds/#comment-115006&quot;&gt;David Cornwell&lt;/a&gt;.

Well, multiple factors are in play here. First, this is an older post, written before NYC publishing and B&amp;N committed business suicide. This is why I frequently post on the same topics, especially when it comes to the publishing business. So first of all, some of this information is arguably outdated. We (authors) had a bit more control over the odds before Amazon took total control.

The second factor will be what genre are you writing. To be blunt? Romance is a good 70% of the market and odds are better for becoming successful in romance. Then thriller and suspense are next. They are commercial fiction, and (other than non-fiction), these genres sell very well to the masses of readers and &#039;non-readers.&#039;

Thirdly? There is just plain damned dumb luck. I have read books that were BRILLIANT and yet they languished in obscurity. Other books that I felt should have been burned simply because of the insult to my native language? Became 50 Shades of pop culture phenomena.

*bangs head*

The point with this 5% exercise is to bring things into focus. If we look at the BIG, HUGE picture, it seems impossible. But break it down into pieces and it suddenly is at least doable. No one can control the stars aligning just right, but the problem is too many authors fixate on ads, newsletters, and marketing (all of which have a terrible ROI without an established brand and books for sale) without writing more books and becoming better storytellers. They worry about all the stuff they can&#039;t control (dumb luck) when that time would be better spent doing the hard work.

As for the money side of things, as an author you are self-employed and you might consider becoming an LLC, because almost everything is a deduction. You can deduct a portion of your house payment, car payment, utilities, internet, phone, travel, all the expenses for ads and marketing and on and on. Get a good accountant--because I am NOT an accountant and laws vary by state and country--and you probably will pay very little in taxes because you can take advantage of a lot of the same breaks small businesses enjoy.

But yes, you are correct. In fact, it is odd you replied because I was just talking to a friend about defining success. If your goal is to simply write your life story to hand down to kids and grandkids? Then when you finish that book, have it edited, formatted, buy a cover and get it ready for POD? You are a success!

Yet, I see SO many authors (and been guilty myself) who CLAIM to want to be NYTBSAs but they don&#039;t want to do the work or make the sacrifices LONG-TERM to get to that spot. 

Thanks for the comment. I always love a great discussion and fabulous to meet you!]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In reply to <a href="https://authorkristenlamb.com/2018/03/author-success-actual-odds/#comment-115006">David Cornwell</a>.</p>
<p>Well, multiple factors are in play here. First, this is an older post, written before NYC publishing and B&#038;N committed business suicide. This is why I frequently post on the same topics, especially when it comes to the publishing business. So first of all, some of this information is arguably outdated. We (authors) had a bit more control over the odds before Amazon took total control.</p>
<p>The second factor will be what genre are you writing. To be blunt? Romance is a good 70% of the market and odds are better for becoming successful in romance. Then thriller and suspense are next. They are commercial fiction, and (other than non-fiction), these genres sell very well to the masses of readers and &#8216;non-readers.&#8217;</p>
<p>Thirdly? There is just plain damned dumb luck. I have read books that were BRILLIANT and yet they languished in obscurity. Other books that I felt should have been burned simply because of the insult to my native language? Became 50 Shades of pop culture phenomena.</p>
<p>*bangs head*</p>
<p>The point with this 5% exercise is to bring things into focus. If we look at the BIG, HUGE picture, it seems impossible. But break it down into pieces and it suddenly is at least doable. No one can control the stars aligning just right, but the problem is too many authors fixate on ads, newsletters, and marketing (all of which have a terrible ROI without an established brand and books for sale) without writing more books and becoming better storytellers. They worry about all the stuff they can&#8217;t control (dumb luck) when that time would be better spent doing the hard work.</p>
<p>As for the money side of things, as an author you are self-employed and you might consider becoming an LLC, because almost everything is a deduction. You can deduct a portion of your house payment, car payment, utilities, internet, phone, travel, all the expenses for ads and marketing and on and on. Get a good accountant&#8211;because I am NOT an accountant and laws vary by state and country&#8211;and you probably will pay very little in taxes because you can take advantage of a lot of the same breaks small businesses enjoy.</p>
<p>But yes, you are correct. In fact, it is odd you replied because I was just talking to a friend about defining success. If your goal is to simply write your life story to hand down to kids and grandkids? Then when you finish that book, have it edited, formatted, buy a cover and get it ready for POD? You are a success!</p>
<p>Yet, I see SO many authors (and been guilty myself) who CLAIM to want to be NYTBSAs but they don&#8217;t want to do the work or make the sacrifices LONG-TERM to get to that spot. </p>
<p>Thanks for the comment. I always love a great discussion and fabulous to meet you!</p>
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		<title>
		By: David Cornwell		</title>
		<link>https://authorkristenlamb.com/2018/03/author-success-actual-odds/#comment-115006</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[David Cornwell]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 31 Aug 2021 13:12:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://authorkristenlamb.com/?p=24271#comment-115006</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[I think the problem with many people who consider themselves authors is that they never quantify what their goals are. Are you trying to make $100,000 a year? For 25 years? Do you realize how much it cost to own a home, on a car, pay taxes?
Amazon controls the bookselling world. Amazon controls audiobooks. Amazon can alter the percentage that you get paid anytime they want. This makes the ads even more difficult to succeed. Is your definition of succeed, selling millions of books and making millions of $$? Do you realize how much you would pay in taxes even? So now what are the real odds of making it as a successful author? One and 10 million? It really never answered the question. You basically just said it takes a lot of hard work and few are willing to do that]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I think the problem with many people who consider themselves authors is that they never quantify what their goals are. Are you trying to make $100,000 a year? For 25 years? Do you realize how much it cost to own a home, on a car, pay taxes?<br />
Amazon controls the bookselling world. Amazon controls audiobooks. Amazon can alter the percentage that you get paid anytime they want. This makes the ads even more difficult to succeed. Is your definition of succeed, selling millions of books and making millions of $$? Do you realize how much you would pay in taxes even? So now what are the real odds of making it as a successful author? One and 10 million? It really never answered the question. You basically just said it takes a lot of hard work and few are willing to do that</p>
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		<title>
		By: Dan		</title>
		<link>https://authorkristenlamb.com/2018/03/author-success-actual-odds/#comment-114428</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dan]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 18 Aug 2020 14:31:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://authorkristenlamb.com/?p=24271#comment-114428</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[In reply to &lt;a href=&quot;https://authorkristenlamb.com/2018/03/author-success-actual-odds/#comment-90829&quot;&gt;Jessie Andersen&lt;/a&gt;.

Thank you so much.... I&#039;m at chapter 7 in my first book. It was going great. What I have written so far is soooo awesome! My best friend for 30 years was the only reason why I would put pen to paper I never dreamed of writing a book. When I would tell him all my stories he kept telling me dude you have to write a book. He&#039;s done this for years and I just told him he was crazy. So I finally took it seriously and began. I told him we would be 50 50 business partners with my writing. He would handle the whole business part of the Venture in I would just write because that&#039;s all I want to do is write. He works a 60 hour a week job so he won&#039;t have time to get my book in front of people. My wife is awesome at things like that so I called him and told him that I&#039;m not going into business with him. I told him I already have a publisher I already have someone to do the artwork on the cover I already have someone to edit the book so I don&#039;t need him. He obviously was very pissed. It was the first time we&#039;d ever fought in 33 years of friendship. I almost scuttled the whole book and stop writing because it wasn&#039;t worth our friendship. When I hung the phone up from that conversation I felt like I wanted to vomit. I couldn&#039;t believe money came between our friendship. But by the grace of Jesus Christ we have worked it out and I&#039;m just going to pay him a finder&#039;s fee. I was so upset about this that my head was messed up and I couldn&#039;t even hardly write it all. So now I&#039;m starting to write again. Your blog was so inspirational and gives me a lot of hope that I will one day be a New York Times bestseller. I was so deflated. But now I know I will succeed and I will be a best-selling author. It was by the grace of Jesus Christ that I happened upon your website and blog you really really really changed my perception of success. I was feeling really low and you really picked me up and energized me. Thank you so so much and May Jesus bless you?]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In reply to <a href="https://authorkristenlamb.com/2018/03/author-success-actual-odds/#comment-90829">Jessie Andersen</a>.</p>
<p>Thank you so much&#8230;. I&#8217;m at chapter 7 in my first book. It was going great. What I have written so far is soooo awesome! My best friend for 30 years was the only reason why I would put pen to paper I never dreamed of writing a book. When I would tell him all my stories he kept telling me dude you have to write a book. He&#8217;s done this for years and I just told him he was crazy. So I finally took it seriously and began. I told him we would be 50 50 business partners with my writing. He would handle the whole business part of the Venture in I would just write because that&#8217;s all I want to do is write. He works a 60 hour a week job so he won&#8217;t have time to get my book in front of people. My wife is awesome at things like that so I called him and told him that I&#8217;m not going into business with him. I told him I already have a publisher I already have someone to do the artwork on the cover I already have someone to edit the book so I don&#8217;t need him. He obviously was very pissed. It was the first time we&#8217;d ever fought in 33 years of friendship. I almost scuttled the whole book and stop writing because it wasn&#8217;t worth our friendship. When I hung the phone up from that conversation I felt like I wanted to vomit. I couldn&#8217;t believe money came between our friendship. But by the grace of Jesus Christ we have worked it out and I&#8217;m just going to pay him a finder&#8217;s fee. I was so upset about this that my head was messed up and I couldn&#8217;t even hardly write it all. So now I&#8217;m starting to write again. Your blog was so inspirational and gives me a lot of hope that I will one day be a New York Times bestseller. I was so deflated. But now I know I will succeed and I will be a best-selling author. It was by the grace of Jesus Christ that I happened upon your website and blog you really really really changed my perception of success. I was feeling really low and you really picked me up and energized me. Thank you so so much and May Jesus bless you?</p>
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		<title>
		By: How Far Should You Go For Creative Success? - Laura&#039;s Books and Blogs		</title>
		<link>https://authorkristenlamb.com/2018/03/author-success-actual-odds/#comment-113636</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[How Far Should You Go For Creative Success? - Laura&#039;s Books and Blogs]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 23 Sep 2019 12:03:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://authorkristenlamb.com/?p=24271#comment-113636</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[[&#8230;] success are low. See author Kristen Lamb’s post on this subject with the gory statistics here. All I can do is increase my odds by perfecting my skills and keeping at [&#8230;]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[&#8230;] success are low. See author Kristen Lamb’s post on this subject with the gory statistics here. All I can do is increase my odds by perfecting my skills and keeping at [&#8230;]</p>
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		<title>
		By: robintvale (Jessica)		</title>
		<link>https://authorkristenlamb.com/2018/03/author-success-actual-odds/#comment-110527</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[robintvale (Jessica)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 28 Apr 2019 00:19:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://authorkristenlamb.com/?p=24271#comment-110527</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[I don&#039;t care if it&#039;s 00001% I&#039;m not quitting. I&#039;m sick of people (in this case a family member.) telling me they know *my* limits. Nobody decides my limits but me. I&#039;m doing this.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I don&#8217;t care if it&#8217;s 00001% I&#8217;m not quitting. I&#8217;m sick of people (in this case a family member.) telling me they know *my* limits. Nobody decides my limits but me. I&#8217;m doing this.</p>
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		<title>
		By: Kristen Lamb		</title>
		<link>https://authorkristenlamb.com/2018/03/author-success-actual-odds/#comment-110521</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Kristen Lamb]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 27 Apr 2019 21:58:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://authorkristenlamb.com/?p=24271#comment-110521</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[In reply to &lt;a href=&quot;https://authorkristenlamb.com/2018/03/author-success-actual-odds/#comment-110447&quot;&gt;Lisa&lt;/a&gt;.

Awwww...me too! LOL.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In reply to <a href="https://authorkristenlamb.com/2018/03/author-success-actual-odds/#comment-110447">Lisa</a>.</p>
<p>Awwww&#8230;me too! LOL.</p>
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		<title>
		By: Lisa		</title>
		<link>https://authorkristenlamb.com/2018/03/author-success-actual-odds/#comment-110447</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Lisa]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 27 Apr 2019 01:15:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://authorkristenlamb.com/?p=24271#comment-110447</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[I  am a sponge and new to this world  and devoured it. I needed the strightfowarness. I wanna be you when I grow up!]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I  am a sponge and new to this world  and devoured it. I needed the strightfowarness. I wanna be you when I grow up!</p>
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		<title>
		By: Authors and Publishing		</title>
		<link>https://authorkristenlamb.com/2018/03/author-success-actual-odds/#comment-101792</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Authors and Publishing]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 26 Nov 2018 18:01:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://authorkristenlamb.com/?p=24271#comment-101792</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[[&#8230;] Kristen Lamb has a great post about the odds of author success, where she talks about putting in the hard work to develop discipline, write and edit the book, network, and much more. [&#8230;]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[&#8230;] Kristen Lamb has a great post about the odds of author success, where she talks about putting in the hard work to develop discipline, write and edit the book, network, and much more. [&#8230;]</p>
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		<title>
		By: Synopsis: Why All Writers Need One Even Though They Hate It		</title>
		<link>https://authorkristenlamb.com/2018/03/author-success-actual-odds/#comment-92747</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Synopsis: Why All Writers Need One Even Though They Hate It]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 30 Apr 2018 16:50:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://authorkristenlamb.com/?p=24271#comment-92747</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[[&#8230;] we are clear, agents need writers. Their goal is to make the authors they represent as successful as possible. When the author wins, so does the agent. This is why they&#8217;re very picky who they add to [&#8230;]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[&#8230;] we are clear, agents need writers. Their goal is to make the authors they represent as successful as possible. When the author wins, so does the agent. This is why they&#8217;re very picky who they add to [&#8230;]</p>
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